What does TIDE mean in crypto markets?

TIDE is a market-cycle metaphor: crypto liquidity rises and falls like a tide. The word also carries the older sense of time, season, or phase, which fits a cycle indicator.

What is a crypto market cycle indicator?

A crypto market cycle indicator summarizes public market, price, and on-chain data into a readable view of historical phases such as accumulation, expansion, distribution, and capitulation.

How does the Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score help identify cycle tops and bottoms?

The Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score compares market value with realized value. Historically high or low extremes have appeared near major cycle peaks and capitulation zones.

What is the Mayer Multiple?

The Mayer Multiple is Bitcoin price divided by its 200-day moving average. It is a simple way to see whether Bitcoin is historically extended or depressed against its long-term trend.

What is the difference between risk-on and risk-off crypto regimes?

A constructive regime describes conditions where trend and valuation evidence align. A stressed regime describes overheated or bearish conditions. Both are market context, not portfolio instructions.

Daily cycle card--

Absolute TIDE --

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Reading the latest public market data.

BTC price –

Balanced price –

Realized price –

Compass –

Time-based capitulation –

Clock –

Educational, not financial advice · the same card we post daily on Telegram.

BTC-only public-data cycle terminal

Read the tide.Keep the compass.

CryptoTIDE separates the cycle clock, absolute valuation heat and current market structure so each signal stays readable.

Why CryptoTIDE exists — read the manifesto →

Open evidence lab BTC Connecting

BTC/USD · cycle pulse --

Current phase -- reading cycle position

Since cycle peak -- drawdown pending

Peak→low so far -- cycle low pending

BTC --

Compass --

Clock --

Top-risk pressure --

Funding 8h --

BTC current cycle read

Reading the latest public market data.

Cycle Compass

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Clock phase–

Bottom evidence–

Top-risk evidence–

Waiting for clock and state evidence. Timing-led reads appear when the two axes diverge.

BTC spot: –
Realized: –
Thermo price: –
MVRV-Z: –
MVRV: –
Mayer: –
Drawdown: –
Funding 8h: –
OI 30d: –
Top-risk pressure: –
Derivatives context: –
Date: –

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0 Accumulation zone0.5 Neutral1 Euphoria

Short term

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14-day pressure from daily public data.

Medium term

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90-day trend and moving-average context.

Long term

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Cycle valuation from TIDE, MVRV-Z, and Mayer.

4-year cycle map

ATL to next ATL: how the Bitcoin cycle usually breathes

Inspect DCA model

The full Bitcoin cycle is best read from one terminal low to the next terminal low. TIDE helps on the left side of the cycle, where value appears. Cycle Compass adds the post-halving clock and top-risk evidence, where pure on-chain heat can fade across cycles.

TIDE 2.0 overlay

Shows how Cycle Compass sits on top of the ideal cycle: time is the prior; bottom/top evidence confirms or weakens the read.

1 · Capitulation / ATLCapitulation evidence

Forced sellers and miner/holder stress can create deep-value conditions. Absolute TIDE measures the evidence; it cannot call the exact low.

2 · AccumulationValue evidence

Cycle heat is low while trend repair may begin. The DCA model shows a normalized weighting rule without turning it into an order plan.

3 · MarkupTrend expansion

Trend can improve before broad euphoria. Compass checks whether clock position and evidence still agree.

4 · Top windowLate-cycle caution

Time from halving becomes more relevant. Compass looks for confluence across NUPL, MVRV, Mayer, Puell and Pi Cycle.

5 · DistributionDistribution evidence

Upside can continue while asymmetry worsens. Top-risk pressure reports confluence; it is not an automatic sell signal.

6 · Bear / next ATLBottom watch

Terminal lows are confirmed only after the fact. TIDE and Compass distinguish local washout from broader bottom-window evidence.

Cycle Evidence Lab

NUPL, MVRV-Z, Mayer, Puell, Pi Cycle, and TIDE bottom lens

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Deep-value evidence

offcold long-cycle valuation

Trend recovery

offcycle recovery plus trend support

Trend expansion

offconstructive trend evidence

Late-cycle caution

offstretch or derivatives heat rising

Top-risk confluence

offrisk pressure composite

Bear pressure

offhot absolute reading plus weak trend

BTC overview

Cycle dashboard readout

public BTC data

ATH ––

RSI 14D ––

EMA stack ––

7D trend –short pulse

30D trend –medium pressure

90D trend –cycle drift

200D trend –macro filter

Leverage ––

Top-risk pressure ––

Free public data room

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Cost-basis bands

BTC spot vs holder cost basis and Thermo security floor

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BTC Realized STH realized LTH realized Thermo floor

Loading public cost-basis data.

Name meaning

Why TIDE?

In markets, liquidity moves like a tide: it comes in, lifts prices, drains out, and exposes risk. In older English, tide also meant a time, season, or phase. That is the point of this crypto cycle data room: not a trading signal, but a daily read on the market's phase.

For people searching

Bitcoin cycle dashboard, crypto market cycle dashboard, MVRV Z-Score, Bitcoin undervalued or overvalued, crypto risk gauge, and crypto DCA calculator.

What TIDE answers

Is BTC closer to accumulation, early expansion, neutral, distribution, or euphoria based on transparent public data?

The question everyone asks

Where are we in the Bitcoin cycle?

The short answer is at the top of this page: CryptoTIDE reads Bitcoin's position in its roughly four-year market cycle every day from public on-chain and market data, and prints it as the live TIDE score (0–1), the Cycle Compass verdict, and a single action band. Bitcoin's cycle is historically organised around the halving (every ~210,000 blocks, about every four years): a bottoming/accumulation phase, a post-halving expansion, a euphoric top, and a drawdown/bear phase. No one can time it precisely, so CryptoTIDE reports where the weight of the public evidence sits, not a prediction.

The current cycle position is shown live above and updated daily. As a stable reference, the TIDE score maps to these cycle zones:

TIDE below 0.20 — Accumulation: maximum-discount / capitulation context, historically near cycle bottoms.
0.20–0.40 — Early accumulation: undervalued, early-expansion context.
0.40–0.60 — Neutral: mid-cycle; no strong valuation edge either way.
0.60–0.80 — Distribution: stretched valuation; rising top-risk.
Above 0.80 — Euphoria: historically near cycle tops; profit-preservation context.

How this is computed (halving clock, MVRV Z-Score, Mayer Multiple, Puell Multiple, NUPL, Pi Cycle and more) is documented on the methodology page, and common questions are answered in the Bitcoin cycle FAQ. This is educational public-data context, not financial advice.